Monday, November 3, 2008
1 day to go- Barack Obama has strong lead in ME
With one day until the election, it is evident that Barack Obama will atleast get 3 if not all 4 of Maine's electoral votes. Many polls, including the Rasmussen Report has Obama leading McCain by double digits- 56% to 43%. This link however, does not discuss the continuous efforts that John McCain and his campaign have put into the Second District of Maine. With the rural, conservative demographics in the second district in Maine, John McCain may be able to find supporters that Obama may not have accounted for. While the second district may be a toss up, the state can still be considered strong Obama. I would predict that there is a 50/50 chance for McCain to win that one electoral vote, but he has absolutley no chance in winning the other 3 from Maine.
Friday, October 24, 2008
10 Days- 3 votes Strong Obama, 1 vote to close to call?
Could One Vote Swing Entire Election? Well with all of the energy the McCain campaign is putting into the Maine's second district, I sure hope so.
With 10 days until the election, Maine could split their electoral votes 3-1. Maine is one of only two states which separates their electoral votes and allows for two statewide votes and one additional vote for each of its two districts. News sources have reported that McCain has strengthened his efforts in the Second district of Maine, placing more of his ad’s in central and northern Maine, in order to try to win its single electoral vote.
The second district in Maine has always been considered more conservative than the rest of the state, and voters in this district say that with Sarah Palin on the ticket, they are more enthusiastic than ever to support the Republican Ticket. Being a rural district, many of the voters feel that they have a connection with the McCain/Palin values on issues such as gun owner rights and because of this, republican leader’s in the state see the second district as very competitive and leaning towards McCain.
The Obama Campaign welcomes the increased competition, and with 9 field offices in the second district they are not going to back down. Whereas McCain connects with Rural Maine’s on specific social issues like gun control, Obama finds connections with these same citizens through his optimism and plans for healthcare and economic reforms. Because of concerns for financial security in Rural Maine, the Obama campaign has placed ad’s out to remind the voter’s in this district why they need to depend on him rather than men like McCain. (See this Video)
With pollster.com showing Obama ahead of McCain 53.5% to 38.3%, it is clear that the state is strong Obama. But with the fight over the single electoral vote in the second district, it is almost as if this district is it’s own state. If this were the case, this “state” would be to close to call right now. But, with the majority of the electoral votes (3 our of 4) most definantly going to Obama, I would say as a whole the state is Strong Obama.
With 10 days until the election, Maine could split their electoral votes 3-1. Maine is one of only two states which separates their electoral votes and allows for two statewide votes and one additional vote for each of its two districts. News sources have reported that McCain has strengthened his efforts in the Second district of Maine, placing more of his ad’s in central and northern Maine, in order to try to win its single electoral vote.
The second district in Maine has always been considered more conservative than the rest of the state, and voters in this district say that with Sarah Palin on the ticket, they are more enthusiastic than ever to support the Republican Ticket. Being a rural district, many of the voters feel that they have a connection with the McCain/Palin values on issues such as gun owner rights and because of this, republican leader’s in the state see the second district as very competitive and leaning towards McCain.
The Obama Campaign welcomes the increased competition, and with 9 field offices in the second district they are not going to back down. Whereas McCain connects with Rural Maine’s on specific social issues like gun control, Obama finds connections with these same citizens through his optimism and plans for healthcare and economic reforms. Because of concerns for financial security in Rural Maine, the Obama campaign has placed ad’s out to remind the voter’s in this district why they need to depend on him rather than men like McCain. (See this Video)
With pollster.com showing Obama ahead of McCain 53.5% to 38.3%, it is clear that the state is strong Obama. But with the fight over the single electoral vote in the second district, it is almost as if this district is it’s own state. If this were the case, this “state” would be to close to call right now. But, with the majority of the electoral votes (3 our of 4) most definantly going to Obama, I would say as a whole the state is Strong Obama.
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Sarah Palin visits Maine- October 16
Although the RNC pulled their resources out of Maine, the McCain campaign had an event in Maine that re-engergized the republican base of the second district in Maine. Regardless of his slim chances of winning all four electoral votes, the McCain campaign insisted that Palin still go speak with the citizens of Maine.
http://bangornews.com/detail/91255.html
http://bangornews.com/detail/91255.html
Republican National Committee Pulls out of Maine
On October 16, the night before Sarah Palin made a visit to Maine, the RNC announced that it would be taking its television ad's out of Maine and they would be putting focusing advertising dollars more in the "traditional red states," rather than more blue states such as Wisconsin and Maine. Although this was a strategic move by the RNC, and the McCain campaign should not have put money in this state in the first place, the RNC should not have pulled out on the eve of Palin's visit to the state.
The McCain campaign does not seem to be on the same page as the RNC, considering something like this happened. Either way, the Obama campaign is outspending the McCain campaign by 2-1, and McCain does not have the same amount of money Obama has to spend on states that are not likely for him. Instead of wasting money that he does not have to waste, the campaign and the RNC need to converse about which states these ad's will proove to be more effective and beneficial for the victory in Novemeber.
The McCain campaign does not seem to be on the same page as the RNC, considering something like this happened. Either way, the Obama campaign is outspending the McCain campaign by 2-1, and McCain does not have the same amount of money Obama has to spend on states that are not likely for him. Instead of wasting money that he does not have to waste, the campaign and the RNC need to converse about which states these ad's will proove to be more effective and beneficial for the victory in Novemeber.
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